Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000013
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016
2025-06-22 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000018
2025-06-29 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000036
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000042
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000047
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000055
2025-08-24 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000061
2025-08-31 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000070
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000082
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000030 0.000091
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000032 0.000103
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000113
2025-10-05 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000036 0.000130
2025-10-12 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000039 0.000155
2025-10-19 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000042 0.000179
2025-10-26 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000046 0.000214